![]() ![]() 4, 12:32 am ET: Biden shortened from -402 to -420 to -545 during the last three hours. 4, 1:37 pm ET: Trump’s odds have rebounded somewhat from +359 to +241. The probability favors Biden 76.4% to 23.6%. Trump is fading again (from +241 to +302). 4, 3:20 pm ET: Improved odds in Arizona and Nevada have sent Biden’s election odds from -329 to -418. He’s -780 on average versus +490 for Trump. 4, 4:57 pm ET: Oddsmakers are basically calling it for Biden. Trump once again faded, now sitting at +528. 5, 12,23 am ET: As Georgia starts to swing to Biden, his odds to win have improved even further to -867. Trump’s odds improved a little from +528 to +476. His odds are not as short as they were a few hours ago, but he remains a -716 favorite. 5, 10:22 am ET: Biden has become a heavy favorite to win Pennsylvania, which is all he needs to get past 270. 5, 3:39 pm ET: Biden’s odds shortened from -716 to -1340 as he appears set to pass Trump in both Georgia and Pennsylvania. The odds – Biden at -3967 vs Trump at +1050 – reflect the stark reality. It’s all over for Trump apart from his tenuous legal arguments. ![]() 6, 9:18 am ET: Biden has taken the lead in Georgia and will do the same in Pennsylvania in the coming hours. ![]() 7, 11:30 am ET: Joe Biden has been declared the winner in Pennsylvania, which puts him at 273 Electoral votes, enough to win the presidency. ![]()
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